Friday, August 14, 2026

Following the invalidation of tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), public companies have begun reporting significant tariff refunds, expected recoveries, approved claims and refund receivables.

Calcbench has identified approximately $9.4 billion of gross tariff refunds across 55 public companies. The 10 largest company-level amounts identified so far account for approximately $7.8 billion of the total:

Company Ticker Gross refund or recovery How disclosed
Apple AAPL $2.19 billion* Narrative and earnings disclosure
Ford Motor F $1.30 billion Narrative disclosure
Nike NKE $986 million Company-specific XBRL extension
FedEx FDX $800 million Company-specific XBRL extension
Amazon AMZN $640 million FASB-taxonomy XBRL fact and dimension
General Motors GM $500 million** Narrative disclosure
UPS UPS $500 million Company-specific XBRL extension
Caterpillar CAT $392 million Company-specific XBRL extension
Medline MDLN $332 million FASB-taxonomy XBRL fact and dimension
Cardinal Health CAH $200 million Company-specific XBRL extension and narrative disclosure

The distribution is decidedly top-heavy. Those 10 companies with the largest amounts represent approximately 83% of the $9.4 billion total, and the five largest account for approximately 63%. That concentration tracks with a broader pattern visible across many parts of today’s marketplace: a relatively small number of very large companies often account for a disproportionate share of the aggregate dollars.

* Apple reported that tariff refunds added approximately 2 percentage points to quarterly gross margin and $0.11 to diluted earnings per share. Applying the gross-margin effect to quarterly revenue of $109.417 billion produces an estimated gross recovery of approximately $2.19 billion.

** General Motors described a net $0.5 billion favorable adjustment primarily attributable to previously charged, refundable IEEPA tariffs. We use that amount as the best disclosed estimate rather than treating it as a separately reported cash receipt.

Why these refunds are difficult to find

A search of the standard FASB XBRL taxonomy finds a meaningful portion of the population, but it does not find everything. Companies have used at least three different disclosure approaches:

  1. Standard FASB taxonomy tags and dimensions. Amazon and a number of other companies reported refund amounts using a standard tag such as RecoveryOfDirectCosts, combined with an IEEPA tariff-refund dimension.
  2. Company-specific XBRL extension tags. Nike used InternationalEmergencyEconomicPowersActExpectedRecoveryOfTariffsPaid. FedEx used ProceedsFromInternationalEmergencyEconomicPowersActTariffs. UPS used IEEPATariffRefundClaimsSubmitted.
  3. Narrative or earnings disclosures. Apple, Ford and General Motors disclosed material amounts without a directly usable numeric XBRL fact identifying the refund.

Caterpillar is an especially useful example. It tagged its $392 million recovery as ReceivableForRecoveryOfImportDutiesNet but the tag itself does not mention IEEPA or tariffs. The accompanying text explains that the amount represents expected IEEPA recoveries for claims submitted and accepted through the government's CAPE system.

Company-level totals require review

The facts also cannot simply be added together. A company may disclose a consolidated recovery, business-segment components, cash received to date, a remaining receivable and a related liability.

Nike, for example, reported a consolidated recovery of $986 million. It also reported $965 million for North America, $21 million for Converse and $302 million of proceeds received. The $965 million and $21 million are components of the $986 million total, while the $302 million is a cash-receipt subset. Adding all four observations would substantially overstate Nike's recovery.

UPS provides another example. It reported approximately $500 million of approved Phase 1 claims, consisting of approximately $200 million received and $300 million recorded as a receivable. The correct company-level amount is $500 million, not $1.0 billion.

What the $9.4 billion represents

For this first stage of the analysis, Calcbench is measuring the gross tariff-refund pool. The total includes disclosed refunds, expected recoveries, approved claims, refund receivables, and clearly identified eligible amounts.

We have not yet reduced the amounts for obligations to return refunds to customers or share them with suppliers. FedEx, for example, received approximately $800 million and separately reported a $749 million customer-refund liability. UPS also expects to pass approved refunds through to customers. Those obligations are important, but they answer a different question: How much of the gross refund will each company ultimately retain?

The immediate task is to identify and ringfence the gross refund population. Based on disclosures identified so far, that population totals approximately $9.4 billion across 55 public companies. The figure is likely to grow as more companies report and as additional extension-tagged and narrative disclosures are identified.

The broader lesson: structured data is essential to this analysis, but relying on a single taxonomy tag is not sufficient. A complete result requires standard XBRL facts, company extensions, dimensions, and narrative disclosure text to be analyzed altogether.


We are now nearing the end of Q2 earnings season, with data from more than 3,000 non-financial companies in our sample group. At this point the overall picture isn’t likely to change much, and it really hasn’t changed much since last week either: this has been a good quarter for Corporate America.

As you can see in Figure 1, below, revenue, operating income, EBIT, and net income are all up from the year-ago period by double digits. Cost of revenue and operating expenses are up by double digits too, but neither one is exceeding revenue growth, so companies are keeping their financial noses above water. Can’t complain about any of that. 





We did want to call out that impressive-looking net income number, up 65.9 percent from Q2 2025. A jump like that might seem super-cool at first glance, but remember: a significant part of it comes from one-time gains that a handful of companies are reporting, rather than booming growth in core operations.


We first noted that issue several weeks ago when Google Alphabet ($GOOG) reported an astonishing $112.2 billion in quarterly net income, but $97.8 billion of that number came from Google revaluing the 6 percent of SpaceX ($SPCX) shares that it owns. That single $97.8 billion item was responsible for 40.5 percent of all net income we noted that week, among more than 280 firms.


That dynamic is still very much afoot in net income growth. Indeed, the Wall Street Journal finally caught onto the story this week, with an article that documented $121 billion in net income that actually came from one-time investment gains from exactly two companies: Google and Amazon ($AMZN). 


Net income for all 3,000+ companies in our sample this week was $658.9 billion, up 65.9 percent from one year ago. But if you strip out that $121 billion from Google and Amazon, then total year-over-year net income gains were only 35.4 percent — not shabby at all, but certainly not the 65.9 percent that has less-attentive Wall Street investors swooning. 


In contrast, when we look at operating income, that number is up 32.5 percent year-over-year, very similar to the 35.4 percent growth in net income when you strip out those one-time investment gains from the tech giants. 


This is why it pays to dive deeply into the data. Calcbench, of course, has all the data you need, indexed and structured and ready for solid analysis within minutes of companies filing that data with the Securities and Exchange Commission.


Meanwhile, as always, we also have the data from Figure 1 in table format instead.


Metric Q2 2026 Q2 2025 Count YoY Change
Revenue $5.30T $4.56T 2,724 16.1%
Cost Of Revenue $2.94T $2.56T 2,350 14.6%
Capex $485.11B $368.52B 2,365 31.6%
Operating Expenses $1.42T $1.27T 2,850 11.6%
SGA Expense $650.02B $597.53B 2,881 8.8%
Operating Income $880.92B $664.68B 3,092 32.5%
EBIT $936.02B $596.30B 3,053 57.0%
Net Income $658.86B $397.21B 3,031 65.9%
Assets $31.77T $28.53T 3,079 11.3%
Cash $1.95T $1.70T 3,064 14.7%
Inventory $1.73T $1.61T 1,776 7.8%
Total Debt $9.47T $8.74T 2,118 8.4%
Liabilities $19.72T $17.82T 3,053 10.6%

Calcbench tracks these earnings using our Earnings Tracker template, which pulls in financial disclosures as companies file their latest earnings releases with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Earnings Tracker provides an up-to-the minute snapshot of financial performance compared to the year-earlier period.


If Calcbench subscribers wish to get their hands on the template we use for this analysis, so you can conduct your own experiments at home, use this link to the file


Please note that it will only work with an active Calcbench subscription. If you need an active subscription (and who doesn’t, really, when swift access to real-time data is so important?), contact us at us@calcbench.com.


That’s all for this week. Come back next Friday for more!


Everyone knows that the tech giants and AI hyperscalers are betting big on data centers. Calcbench has been taking a deep dive into Q2 disclosures of those companies, and today we offer a better sense of how big those bets are.

Bets, by the way, that aren’t included on the tech giants’ balance sheets.


These bets travel under the rather boring names “uncommenced leases” or “unrecognized lease commitments.” As the name implies, these are leases (typically for AI data centers) that the company has signed and do exist, but the leases haven’t yet started and don’t appear on the company’s balance sheet. 


Altogether, among the six companies leading the charge on data center development, these uncommenced lease expenses now exceed $1 trillion.


Figure 1, below, shows how the expenses have soared in recent years — from $321.5 billion in 2024, to $700.2 billion in 2025, to $1.13 trillion as of Q2 2026. 



As you can see, different companies are racking up these uncommenced lease costs at different rates. In relative terms, the one with the steepest increases is Google Alphabet ($GOOG), which had a jump of 1,150 percent; but that’s mostly because Alphabet started from an extremely low amount in 2024 ($7.2 billion), which reached $91 billion today. But that $91 billion is still lower in absolute dollars than the uncommenced lease commitments carried by Facebook Meta ($META) or Microsoft ($MSFT), which currently stand at $279 billion and $329 billion, respectively.


Another way to think about the numbers is to look at which company was incurring the largest share of unrecognized commitments in any given year. That is, if all six companies had $100 billion in unrecognized commitments in 2025, each company accounted for how much of that total? That’s represented in Figure 2, below. 



As you can see, Facebook has been accounting for an increasingly large percentage of the whole amount every year, even as that whole amount grew larger in absolute dollar terms year over year. 


Finally, we did a quick analysis to compare these off-balance sheet commitments to each company’s total liabilities. That gives a sense of how much the company’s balance sheet could go through the blender if those off-balance sheet commitments suddenly did have to be brought back onto the balance sheet. See Figure 3, below.



If any readers are suddenly wondering, “Wait, isn’t this what happened with Lehman Bros. in 2008 just before the financial crisis?” — well, it could be. 


For example, if Facebook had to bring all those not-yet recognized lease commitments onto the balance sheet all at once, without any corresponding increase in assets because nobody was using AI like forecasters expected, that would balloon total liabilities by 148 percent and be a disaster for stockholders. But Facebook claims it does have revenue commitments to back up all these lease commitments when the time comes. If those revenue commitments turn into actual revenue, then everything will be fine.


Where to Find All These Disclosures


That’s easy enough. For starters, you can always use the Calcbench Disclosures & Footnotes Query page to pull up specific footnote disclosures and read exactly what the company is saying. The good stuff is always in the fine print!


That said, not all companies disclose their unrecognized leasing commitments in the same location. For example, Amazon ($AMZN) discloses lease information in its Commitments and Contingencies footnote, because leases are commitments to future expenses. In contrast, Microsoft reports its future costs in a dedicated Leases footnotes, because the commitments are leases.


So you need to look. You can do that by studying the exact footnote disclosures that each company makes from the list on the left-hand side of your screen and then choosing whichever footnote makes the most sense. You might need to search both the Commitments and Leases footnotes if a company reports them both, but the information will be in there somewhere.


You can also use our Multi-Company page to search disclosures across a group of companies. Start by searching for the XBRL tag:


UnrecordedUnconditionalPurchaseObligationBalanceSheetAmount


That should pull up the relevant amounts for whatever period you’re searching. You can then do a time-series pull to see how that amount has changed over time and export the whole thing in Excel.


This was a busy week for corporate earnings, as more than 1,000 companies across a wide range of industries filed their Q2 earnings reports. We now have 2,050 non-financial companies in our famed Earnings Tracker, so let’s see where things stand.

As you can see in Figure 1, below, the numbers still look respectable — even a bit better than last week’s earnings update





Revenue is up 16.1 percent from the year-ago period, while cost of revenue is up 14.4 percent. The spread between those numbers (170 basis points) is a bit better than last week, when the spread was only 100 points. 


Operating income is up 31.5 percent (better than last week), and net income is up 63.7 percent (still largely thanks to a one-time accounting adjustment from Google Alphabet’s stake in SpaceX, which we discussed a few weeks ago). Cash, EBIT, total assets, cash flow from operations; they’re all moving in the right direction.


Questions we still want to explore as soon as our crack research team gets back from Montauk… 


  • To what extent is that capex number (up 29.8 percent) driven by the AI hyperscalers spending zillions on data centers? If we exclude them, how much is everyone else spending on capex? 

  • Which industries are enjoying the biggest growth in earnings? Which ones are seeing the least? 

  • Which firms are seeing the best growth in free cash flow, since FCF is so valuable for investing in new projects, share buybacks, and more? 


Those questions are all easy enough to answer with Calcbench, and we’ll start answering them next week now that we have a critical mass of Q2 filers in the sample.


Meanwhile, as always, we also have the data from Figure 1 in table format instead.


Metric Q2 2026 Q2 2025 Count YoY Change
Revenue $4.91T $4.23T 1,965 16.1%
Cost of Revenue $2.71T $2.37T 1,741 14.4%
Capex $451.09B $347.58B 1,764 29.8%
Operating Expenses $1.32T $1.19T 1,958 10.8%
SG&A Expense $608.89B $559.94B 1,943 8.7%
Operating Income $851.44B $647.30B 2,101 31.5%
EBIT $918.61B $584.02B 2,063 57.3%
Net Income $641.44B $391.74B 2,066 63.7%
Assets $29.53T $26.60T 2,095 11.0%
Cash $1.77T $1.55T 2,082 14.2%
Inventory $1.59T $1.48T 1,348 7.2%
Total Debt $8.69T $8.09T 1,541 7.4%
Liabilities $18.35T $16.66T 2,065 10.2%


Calcbench tracks these earnings using our Earnings Tracker template, which pulls in financial disclosures as companies file their latest earnings releases with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Earnings Tracker provides an up-to-the minute snapshot of financial performance compared to the year-earlier period.


If Calcbench subscribers wish to get their hands on the template we use for this analysis, so you can conduct your own experiments at home, use this link to the file


Please note that it will only work with an active Calcbench subscription. If you need an active subscription (and who doesn’t, really, when swift access to real-time data is so important?), contact us at us@calcbench.com.


That’s all for this week. Come back next Friday for more!


Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Mounjaro Sales Q2-26
$9.94B
Zepbound SALES Q2-26
$4.93B
All other SALES Q2-26
$6.98B

Eli Lilly & Co. filed its Q2 earnings this morning. That gives us an excellent excuse to crack open the Calcbench databases and dine on Lilly’s disclosures about its blockbuster weight-loss drugs Zepbound and Mounjaro.


As we’ve noted before in these pages, pharmaceutical firms disclose the sales of their individual blockbuster drugs. So we opened our Segments, Rollforwards & Breakouts page, called up Lilly’s ($LLY) quarterly revenues for Zepbound and Mounjaro, and then compared the sales of those two drugs against all Lilly’s other products. 


The result is Figure 1, below.



As you can see, Lilly’s two GLP-1 weight loss drugs went from 26.5 percent of total sales at the start of 2024 ($2.32 billion against $8.77 billion) to two-thirds of total sales today ($14.9 billion of $23 billion). 


Figure 2, below, takes all that information and reframes it in dollar amounts.



Again, the tale is clear. Lilly’s two weight-loss drugs are growing like gangbusters and swallowing the rest of the company. Lilly does report the sales of several other individual drugs, including Trulicity, Jardiance, Taltz, and Verzenio; plus a few “other” segments too small to bother with individual brand names — but fundamentally, Lilly is now a GLP-1 business with a side-hustle selling other drugs for other illnesses. (Indeed, it’s worth noting that sales of all other Lilly products have now been falling for the last three quarters.) 


You can compile research like this yourself using our Segments database; or you can use our API to inject the latest financial disclosures directly into your Excel models as soon as those numbers are filed. For example, we created the above tables and text earlier this week before Lilly filed its Q2 numbers, then just waited for the Q2 release this morning. Two minutes later, our data was current, accurate, and complete. 


Friday, July 31, 2026
YoY Revenue Increase
14.8%
YoY Op Inc. Increase
26.9%
Net inc. Increase
66.8%

We now have roughly 800 firms in our Q2 Earnings Tracker! A vast range of non-financial companies announced second-quarter earnings this week, so we have a much better sense of where corporate performance is and how it compares to one year ago.


Overall, the numbers still look respectable. 


As you can see in Figure 1, below, revenue is up 14.8 percent from the year-ago period, a marginal improvement from the 13.6 percent from last week’s earnings update (with, admittedly, far fewer companies in our sample). Operating income is up 10.3 percent, and net income up 66.8 percent.




About that net income number, however. As we unpacked in last week’s earnings post, a huge portion of that year-over-year increase (currently at 66.8 percent) is solely due to Google Alphabet ($GOOG) and its one-time $98 billion gain from recognizing the SpaceX ($SPCX) shares that Google has owned since 2015. Strip that $98 billion out of the overall net income from this week’s sample, and net income is up only 33.2 percent from Q2 2025.


We should also note that Cost of Revenues line. It’s up 13.8 percent, uncomfortably close to the 14.8 percent gain in revenue. That could be a warning sign that inflation pressures are swirling, and is worth watching in coming weeks as more companies file Q2 reports. And then there’s that capex spending number, which is heavily driven by a few AI hyperscalers spending zillions on data centers. We’ll do another post on capex spending next week.


Meanwhile, here is all the data from Figure 1 in table format instead.


Metric Q2 2026 Q2 2025 Firms YoY Change
Revenue $3.08T $2.68T 804 14.8%
Cost of Revenue $1.54T $1.35T 730 13.8%
Capex $329.35B $243.37B 679 35.3%
Operating Expenses $845.76B $766.64B 773 10.3%
SG&A Expense $398.74B $370.34B 756 7.7%
Operating Income $616.23B $485.44B 827 26.9%
EBIT $685.21B $431.13B 794 58.9%
Net Income $485.31B $290.87B 820 66.8%
Assets $19.21T $17.06T 816 12.7%
Cash $1.15T $989.09B 806 15.8%
Inventory $998.96B $943.46B 578 5.9%
Total Debt $5.21T $4.80T 627 8.5%
Liabilities $11.61T $10.48T 791 10.8%

Calcbench tracks these earnings using our Earnings Tracker template, which pulls in financial disclosures as companies file their latest earnings releases with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Earnings Tracker provides an up-to-the minute snapshot of financial performance compared to the year-earlier period.


If Calcbench subscribers wish to get their hands on the template we use for this analysis, so you can conduct your own experiments at home, use this link to the file


Please note that it will only work with an active Calcbench subscription. If you need an active subscription (and who doesn’t, really, when swift access to real-time data is so important?), contact us at us@calcbench.com.


That’s all for this week. Come back next Friday for more!



Everyone probably knew well ahead of major U.S. airlines filing their Q2 earnings that fuel costs would be bad — but wow, did anyone expect it would be this bad? 

All six U.S. majors have now filed their Q2 earnings reports. (Jetblue was the last, filing earlier this week.) As we’ve noted many times before, all six disclose their total fuel costs and average price per gallon of fuel every quarter. Calcbench tracks all this, which allows us to chart the airlines’ price of fuel over time. 


Figure 1, below, shows the average price per gallon for all six airlines. Brace for impact.



What verb can one even use to describe the increase in costs for Q2, the first quarter that fully captures the higher costs driven by the U.S. war against Iran? Soar? Spike? Pop? Rocket? 


We previously wrote about jet fuel costs in early July, when Delta Air Lines ($DAL) was the first airline to report Q2 earnings. At the time, we did some trigonometry to calculate that Delta’s fuel costs were sloping upward at an angle 76.5 degrees, and we were astonished then because the steepest increase for an actual plane taking off is never more than about 15 degrees. 


Now we can see that Delta’s cost increases in Q2 were the least of the whole lot. The five other airlines saw their average fuel costs accelerate even more rapidly, more akin to a rocket than an aircraft. United Airlines, for example, saw its average fuel costs go from $2.34 per gallon one year ago to $4.19 now — an increase of 79 percent. 


The story is mostly the same if we look at total fuel expense per quarter, which airlines also report. Figure 2, below, shows how that looks for the last 10 quarters. 



The upward slopes on this chart are a bit more diverse because the increase depends on total miles flown, which can vary from one airline to the next. American, Delta, and United all fly many more routes, including long-haul routes internationally; so it’s no surprise that their increases are larger. Jetblue, Southwest, and Alaska are more domestically focused, so their total costs are appreciably lower. 


As always, Calcbench subscribers can quickly obtain all these non-GAAP disclosures by downloading our airlines template from DropBox. That template tracks all the major airlines and disclosures automatically, so the information is at your fingertips within minutes of the airline filing its latest earnings report. 


(Disclosure of our own: The template won’t work automatically unless you (a) are a Calcbench premium subscriber; and (b) have our Excel Add-In already installed. If you need help with either of those things, email us at us@calcbench.com any time.) 

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Monday, July 27, 2026

Now that we have more companies filing their Q2 earnings releases and quarterly reports, we wanted to take another pass at one of our favorite corporate disclosure issues these days — tariff refunds!

As we’ve noted in previous posts, companies started to make disclosures about tariff refunds earlier this spring after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s use of certain tariff powers in February. That was Q1, when many companies weren’t certain what they wanted to say because the ruling and the subsequent process to obtain tariff refunds was still new.


Now we’re in Q2, and things have changed considerably. Many companies are disclosing specific refund amounts they’re seeking or have already received. Others have made more exotic moves, such as Children’s Place ($PLCE) selling off its expected tariff refund at 67 cents on the dollar


Let’s see what a few other firms have said about tariffs.


FedEx


FedEx ($FDX) filed its latest annual report on July 20, for the fiscal year that ended on May 31. In the Contingencies footnote, FedEx disclosed that it had received cash refunds of $800 million by the end of May. 


The company also said it plans to refund that $800 million back to individual customers! As such, FedEx recorded $749 million as within its current liabilities line item, representing estimated customer refund obligations for those cash refunds from Uncle Sam. So there’s one interesting example of how companies are treating these refunds, both financially and from an accounting perspective.


Nike


We previously wrote about Nike ($NKE) on July 1, when the company’s latest earnings release said gross profit margin rose 49.2 percent, “primarily due to the expected recovery” of $986 million in IEEPA tariffs. 


At the time, we struggled to answer several questions. What does “expected recovery” mean? Was that $986 million in Nike coffers already, or not? Exactly where would that $986 million appear on the income statement? 


Nike filed its annual report on July 15 for the period ending May 31, and now we know. The company said this in its Summary of Significant Accounting Policies section:


During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, the company deemed recovery of those tariffs to be probable. Accordingly, the company recognized a benefit of $986 million in Cost of sales within the Consolidated Statements of Income for the recovery of IEEPA tariffs paid, for which $965 million and $21 million of the benefit was classified within North America and Converse, respectively, largely offsetting the impact of the IEEPA tariffs recognized during fiscal 2026. 


As of May 31, 2026, the Company received $302 million and recorded $684 million of outstanding IEEPA tariff receivables reflected within Accounts receivable, net on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Subsequent to May 31, 2026, the Company received substantially all of the remaining IEEPA tariff receivable.


So Nike booked the $986 million as accounts receivable (which we expected, honestly) and subsequent to period-end, those monies were in fact paid.


Nike did not say anything about what it will do with the refunds, such as repay them to customers. 


Pentair


Water treatment company Pentair ($PNR) filed its Q2 earnings statement on July 14 for the quarter that ended June 30. The company reported a substantial cut in expected EPS and adjusted EPS, mostly due to an ongoing inventory issue — but also mentioned a positive impact from IEEPA tariff refunds!


Pentair then said it expects Q2 results to include $35 million in tariff refunds, compared to $930 million in revenue for the quarter. That’s 3.7 percent, so definitely material enough to disclose.


The company also disclosed further down that for all of 2026 it expects to receive “$35 to $50 million” in tariff refunds. So presumably that’s another $15 million at most coming to Pentair as refunds for the rest of the year.


Search Yourself


You can always search for more details about tariff refunds on your own. The best place to start is our Disclosures & Footnotes Query page. Just identify the company or companies that you want to research, and then enter “IEEPA” in the text search field on the left side of your screen. IEEPA is the name of the tariff program invalided by the Supreme Court, and that search will bring up all mentions of the word. 


Tariff refund disclosures are likely to be right behind it.


Friday, July 24, 2026

The famed Calcbench Earnings Tracker is now back in action, for our first analysis of Q2 2026 earnings data. So far, among the large companies that dominate the beginning of earnings season, the overall numbers look solid.

Figure 1, below, tells the tale. With roughly data from roughly 280 non-financial firms, revenue is up 13.6 percent from the year-ago period, operating income up 33.1 percent, and net income up an eye-popping 85. 1 percent. 



Those numbers might look impressive at first glance, but don’t pass around the Friday afternoon cocktails just yet.


That 85.1 percent growth in net income is deceptive. It includes a single one-time gain of $97.8 billion that tracks back to Google’s ownership stake in the newly launched SpaceX ($SPCX).


That’s right. Google ($GOOG) owned roughly 6 percent of SpaceX stock as of June 30. Because SpaceX soared after its IPO on June 12, that led to a huge increase in the value of Google’s ownership stake — and under U.S. accounting rules, that gain must be reported in the Other Income line, which then falls into the net income line just below it on the income statement.


The $97.8 billion that Google reported from its one-time SpaceX gain is 40.5 percent of all net income reported by the 270 companies in our sample this week. Moreover, investment gains of this sort really just exist on paper; they’re not the same as gains in net income from actual operations.


If we strip out that $97.8 billion from Google’s SpaceX ownership, all other net income growth was only 10.1 percent

That’s better than nothing, but not at all the zesty growth suggested by the headline numbers.

Also note the timing here. Google’s Q2 closed on June 30. That very day, SpaceX shares closed at $170, their all-time high. Since then, the stock has tumbled by roughly 33 percent! Shares are currently in a low-earth orbit around $113, well below the IPO price of $135. 

If SpaceX’s decline continues through the rest of the quarter, then Google will need to report a correspondingly large loss in net income next quarter. 


How large? If Q3 ended for Google today, with shares at $113, the loss would be roughly $30 billion. If SpaceX shares continue to fall, the loss will be even larger. Stay tuned. 


For everyone else, Figure 2, below, shows our Earnings Tracker data in table format. 

Metric Q2 2026 Q2 2025 Firms YoY Change
Revenue $1.26T $1.11T 263 13.6%
Cost Of Revenue $598.12B $537.60B 242 11.3%
Capex $128.39B $96.90B 204 32.5%
Operating Expenses $354.78B $340.05B 256 4.3%
SGA Expense $198.16B $185.96B 253 6.6%
Operating Income $295.12B $221.65B 274 33.1%
EBIT $318.60B $184.40B 263 72.8%
Net Income $241.62B $130.56B 270 85.1%
Assets $8.21T $7.32T 263 12.2%
Cash $502.07B $399.04B 259 25.8%
Inventory $407.67B $379.89B 176 7.3%
Total Debt $2.43T $2.30T 200 5.8%
Liabilities $5.08T $4.69T 260 8.2%

Calcbench tracks these earnings using our Earnings Tracker template, which pulls in financial disclosures as companies file their latest earnings releases with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Earnings Tracker provides an up-to-the minute snapshot of financial performance compared to the year-earlier period.


If Calcbench subscribers wish to get their hands on the template we use for this analysis, so you can conduct your own experiments at home, use this link to the file


Please note that it will only work with an active Calcbench subscription. If you need an active subscription (and who doesn’t, really, when swift access to real-time data is so important?), contact us at us@calcbench.com.


That’s all for this week. Come back next Friday for more!



Five major Wall Street banks reported their Q2 earnings this morning, so what better way to demonstrate the speed and ease of Calcbench data analytics than to whip up a chart of the banks’ return on equity? 


“ROE” is one of the most important performance metrics banks disclose in their earnings releases. It’s calculated by dividing net income for the period into shareholder equity, and is expressed as a percentage. The higher the percentage, the more efficiently the firm is generating wealth for shareholders. 


ROE disclosures are also tagged and indexed by Calcbench, which means a bank’s ROE numbers are available for your inspection within minutes of the bank filing its earnings release with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 


We went to our Multi-Company page and to research quarterly ROE numbers for the five Wall Street titans who filed Q2 earnings this morning:


  • Bank of America ($BAC) 

  • Citigroup ($C)

  • Goldman Sachs ($GS)

  • JPMorgan Chase ($JPM)

  • Wells Fargo ($WFC)


We simply typed “return on equity” into the standardized metrics field on the left side of the screen to get the Q2 disclosures from today; then did a time-series on the disclosure to look back at quarterly ROE disclosures since the start of 2023. Took the data, dumped it into Excel, and the rest is in Figure 1, below.



As you can see, several banks — Goldman and JPMorgan foremost, but to a lesser extent Wells Fargo too — have seen ROE grow nicely since the start of the year. No wonder the banks’ share prices all jumped today and JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said conditions were “getting close to as good as it gets.” (Of course, he also said in the next breath, “We just don’t know how long it’s going to last.”)


Honestly this chart is nothing especially insightful; we just use it to demonstrate the speed and ease of pulling precise information from the sea of disclosures that large companies routinely make in their earnings reports. We built this chart in less than two minutes, less than five minutes after the fifth and final bank in our sample (Citigroup) filed its earnings data at 9:41 a.m. ET.


You could run this exercise yourself any time through the Multi-Company page; or automate the process entirely by using our API to mainline earnings data directly into your own models. Email us at us@calcbench.com if you want to find out how!


Fuel Cost Q2 2025
$2.21 per gal
Fuel Cost Q1 2026
$2.78 per gal
Fuel Cost Q2 2026
$3.66 per gal

 Delta Air Lines ($DAL) filed its Q2 2026 earnings statement on Friday, and we all know what that means: an opportunity to see just how ugly airlines’ fuel expenses are these days. Prepare for a rapid ascent, readers. 

All major airlines report fuel costs — both their total fuel expense for the quarter and average cost per gallon — as individual items on the earnings release. Calcbench tracks those disclosures, so with a few quick keystrokes we can see how soaring energy prices from the war in Iran this spring surged through the airlines’ financial reporting. 


Figure 1, below, shows average cost per gallon for the six major U.S. airlines since the start of 2024. Right now we only have Q2 numbers from Delta — but just look at that upward spike!


Just for giggles, we calculated the angle of that Q2 upward spike. It’s roughly 76.5 degrees. Now imagine the fastest, steepest take-off you’ve ever experienced on a plane, one where your stomach slid into your shoes. At most, that ascent would be only 15 degrees. So that gives you a sense of how fast fuel costs were accelerating for Delta this spring — and Delta is among the better managers of fuel costs because it owns its own refinery, which Delta estimates shaved off about 5 cents of cost per gallon.  


We will have an updated fuel cost chart at the end of July once the other five airlines file their earnings statements. Meanwhile, marvel at what’s happening here.


Other Performance Metrics

The fuel costs were the buzzkill for Delta’s Q2 performance. Revenue actually rose 18.7 percent from the year-ago period, to $19.76 billion; and the crucial metric known as TRASM (total revenue per available seat mile) jumped 17 percent, from 24.11 cents one year ago to 25.11 cents today. So far, so good.


But total fuel costs rose a whopping 67 percent, from $2.46 billion to $4.11 billion. Operating income then tumbled 11.3 percent to $1.86 billion, and net income dropped 24.7 percent to $1.6 billion — but hey, those numbers are still in black ink, which is better than the alternative.


Delta executives did say in the earnings release that they expect Q3 to improve, with EPS at $2.00 to $2.50 on an operating margin of 11 to 13 percent. But then came this:


"Non‑fuel unit cost performance is expected to improve modestly from the June quarter with further progression in the December quarter as capacity growth begins to normalize. This puts us back on a path toward our long-term framework of low-single-digit non-fuel unit cost growth."


We’d love that prediction to come true, but given the renewed hostilities with Iran this week, perhaps it won’t. Calcbench doesn’t know what that might mean for future performance, but we have all the airline data you need to make your own models. 


The good news for Calcbench subscribers is that you can quickly obtain all these non-GAAP disclosures by downloading our airlines template from DropBox. That template tracks all the major airlines and disclosures automatically, so the information is at your fingertips within minutes of the airline filing its latest earnings report. 


(Disclosure of our own: The template won’t work automatically unless you (a) are a Calcbench premium subscriber; and (b) have our Excel Add-In already installed. If you need help with either of those things, email us at us@calcbench.com any time.) 






Screening for credit stress across a bank cohort

Ahead of Q2 2026 bank earnings, we wanted to answer a specific question: is there evidence that bank customers — consumer and commercial borrowers alike — are under rising credit stress? Not for one bank, read off a single 10-Q, but systematically, across the sector, using Calcbench's standardized data.

This post walks through the method, what it found, and a wrinkle along the way that's arguably the more important lesson: a systematic screen is only as good as your willingness to double-check what it flags.

The method

Provision for loan loss (PLL) is the natural starting point for a credit-stress question — it's the expense banks book each quarter in anticipation of loans going bad. But raw PLL dollars are a noisy signal on their own. A bank's provision grows simply because its loan book is growing, independent of whether borrower quality is deteriorating. To separate “more loans” from “worse loans,” we normalized provision by the loan book itself:

PLL ratio = Provision for Loan Loss ÷ Loans Receivable

Using Calcbench's standardized metrics ( ProvisionForLoanLoss and LoansReceivable , both available as clean, comparable fields across filers), we built:

  • •  A universe of national commercial banks, SIC code 6021, with total assets of $20 billion or more — pulled live via the Calcbench API, so it stays current as banks cross the threshold or merge away.You could also use the Calcbench Excel Addin or the Calcbench Multi Company page.
  • •  The trailing 16 quarters of data (Q2 2022 through Q1 2026, the most recent quarter filed as of this writing) plus full-year annual totals for additional context.
  • •  A minimum-coverage filter, requiring at least 12 of 16 quarters of valid data before a bank is included in any chart, so recent IPOs or fiscal-year mismatches don't clutter the picture with broken, partial lines.

First pass: the mega banks diverge

Looking first at the largest, most closely watched banks — JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo — raw provision dollars already tell a real, if modest, story of divergence rather than a uniform trend. (These four have loan books of a broadly similar scale, so the dollar figures are directly comparable here; we apply the normalized ratio once we broaden to the full bank universe below, where asset sizes vary far more.)

Line chart of provision for loan loss for JPM, BAC, C, and WFC, Q2 2023 to Q2 2025
Bank Q2 2023 PLL Q2 2024 PLL Q2 2025 PLL Direction
Citigroup $1.82B $2.48B $2.87B Rising — up ~58% over two years
Bank of America $1.13B $1.51B $1.59B Rising — up ~42%
JPMorgan $2.90B $3.05B $2.85B Flat / rangebound
Wells Fargo $1.71B $1.24B $1.01B Falling — down ~41%

Citi and BAC show a sustained multi-year build in provisioning — consistent with, though not proof of, rising credit stress in their books. JPMorgan is essentially flat. Wells Fargo, notably, is heading the other direction entirely, with provisions declining each year. That's not what a uniform “the consumer is under stress” narrative would predict — it's a genuinely mixed picture, and worth watching whether the Citi/BAC trend continues into Q2 2026.

Broadening the screen — and a red flag

Expanding the universe to the full set of $20B+ SIC 6021 banks, one name jumped out immediately: Capital One , whose PLL ratio looked like the most stressed loan book in the entire cohort.

On the surface, that's plausible — Capital One's business is concentrated in credit cards, a structurally higher-loss, higher-yield lending category than traditional commercial banking. But the size and shape of the signal didn't look like ordinary credit-card seasoning. It looked like a single, enormous spike.

The Discover effect

Pulling Capital One's PLL ratio quarter by quarter tells the real story:

Bar chart of Capital One provision for loan loss as a percent of loans receivable by quarter, spiking in Q2 2025
Quarter Loans receivable Provision for loan loss PLL ratio
Q1 2025 $307.7B $2.37B 0.77%
Q2 2025 $415.4B $11.43B 2.75%
Q3 2025 $420.1B $2.71B 0.65%
Q4 2025 $430.2B $4.14B 0.96%
Q1 2026 $424.1B $4.07B 0.96%

In every quarter shown outside Q2 2025, Capital One's ratio sits in a steady 0.65%–1.30% band — comparable in kind to the other mega banks. Then, in a single quarter, loans receivable jumps by $107.7 billion and provision expense jumps to $11.43 billion, more than four times the typical run rate. The very next quarter, both numbers snap back to normal.

That $107.7 billion jump in loans receivable is not organic loan growth — it's Discover Financial's loan portfolio landing on Capital One's balance sheet at the close of the Capital One–Discover merger in May 2025. Under CECL accounting, acquiring a loan portfolio typically requires booking a large “day one” provision against the acquired book, even though those loans aren't newly risky — the reserve reflects an accounting requirement at the moment of acquisition, not a change in the borrowers' behavior.

We also checked whether this distortion showed up elsewhere. It does: Capital One's net income briefly went negative in the same quarter (a loss of roughly $4.3 billion, against revenue that fell to just over $1 billion, driven by the same provision mechanic flowing through Calcbench's standardized bank revenue definition). Every downstream metric that touches provision or net income in that quarter tells the same distorted story for the same underlying reason.

Why this matters more than the finding itself

Excluding the merger quarter, Capital One's credit trend actually looks unremarkable — stable, in a similar range to the other mega banks, with no clear deterioration. The “riskiest loan book in the cohort” read was, in the end, a single quarter of merger accounting, not a multi-year trend.

That's arguably the more useful lesson here. Standardized data makes it possible to run a systematic credit-stress screen across dozens of banks in minutes rather than reading 10-Qs one at a time — but a screen that ranks a ratio and stops there will happily flag M&A activity as “stress” right alongside genuine deterioration. The value of the data is in the breadth it unlocks; the value of the analysis is in knowing which spikes deserve a second look before they go in a headline.

What we're watching into Q2 2026

  • •  Does the Citi / Bank of America upward provisioning trend continue, or has it plateaued?
  • •  With the Discover integration quarter now a year behind it, does Capital One's PLL ratio look clean and back in its normal band, and is that number, going forward, a meaningful signal on card-lending stress?
  • •  Do any other banks in the broader $20B+ universe show a Citi/BAC-style multi-year build worth flagging before earnings land?

We'll revisit this screen once Q2 2026 filings are in.


Second-quarter earnings reports will start hitting the wires any day now, and analysts should expect a lot of talk about tariffs — specifically, how much money companies are expecting in tariff refunds, and how those refunds will flow through the financial statements.

Today we have a primer on how companies might disclose all that thanks to Helen of Troy ($HELE), maker of home healthcare and beauty products. Helen filed its latest quarterly report on Wednesday (its fiscal Q1 2027, for the quarter ending May 31) and had quite a bit to say about the tariff refunds it expects since the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the Trump Administration’s IEEPA tariffs earlier this year. 


Helen made the disclosures in the Management Discussion & Analysis of its 10-Q. For starters, the company said it paid $80.5 million in IEEPA tariffs in its fiscal 2026, which ran from March 1, 2025 to Feb. 28, 2026. That’s roughly 8.3 percent of the $970.6 million Helen reported as cost of goods sold for the year. 


Then came the good stuff. Helen said it submitted reimbursement claims worth $6 million to the Trump Administration in May 2026, during its fiscal Q1 2027. Of that amount… 


“As of May 31, 2026 we concluded that $1.9 million of tariff refunds were probable of being recovered and recorded a receivable within prepaids and other current assets, along with corresponding reductions to Cost of Goods Sold of $1.8 million and inventory of $0.1 million in our condensed consolidated financial statements.”


Ah ha! This is the first substantive disclosure we’ve seen not just of how much money a company expects in tariffs refunds; but also how those amounts will be reported in the financial statements. So we know that Helen… 


  • Paid $80.5 million in tariffs in fiscal 2026

  • Applied for $6 million in tariff refunds in fiscal Q1 2027

  • Was certain enough about receiving $1.9 million in refunds that Helen booked them as accounts receivable;

  • And matched the $1.9 million gain in accounts receivable to a reduction of $1.8 million in cost of goods sold and of $100,000 in inventory.


In one form or another, we’ll probably see similar accounting treatments from other companies too. For example, last week we noted that Nike ($NIKE) disclosed $986 million in “expected recovery” of tariffs — but Nike never expressly said what “expected recovery” means, or where that $986 million will show up in the 10-Q (which, as of July 8, Nike has yet to file). 


We kinda sorta assumed that Nike’s $986 million will show up as accounts receivable, but we still don’t know for sure. Now comes Helen of Troy proving that you can indeed get tariff refunds onto the financial statements in that manner. 


Even better, Helen also made additional disclosures about more tariff refunds it sought after its May 31 period-end: 


Subsequent to the first quarter of fiscal 2027, in June 2026, we submitted additional Phase 1 refund claims totaling $3.2 million related to our Beauty & Wellness segment. On June 29, 2026, CBP launched Phase 2 of the IEEPA refund claims process, which we are in the process of preparing. As of July 1, 2026, we received partial payments totaling $1.6 million for our Phase 1 tariff refunds and an immaterial amount of interest. 


Lots to unpack there. First, Helen says it has now received $1.6 million in “Phase 1” refunds, which were all part of the $1.9 million it booked as a receivable for the period that ended on May 31. 


Plus, Helen filed for an additional $3.2 million in Phase 1 tariffs after the May 31 period-close. How much of that sum will Helen be able to book as a receivable by the end of the current period? We don’t know, but we do know it can’t be more than the $3.2 million in total claims submitted. (It’s also possible that Uncle Sam will pay out the whole amount by the next earnings release.)


And finally, let’s not overlook that “Phase 2” refund window. Helen didn’t say how much it will seek as a refund in Phase 2 — but we do know the company paid $80.5 million in total IEEPA tariffs; and has already submitted claims worth $9.2 million (the $6 million submitted last quarter, and the additional $3.2 million submitted in the current quarter). So at most, Helen can only seek another $71.3 million. 


We should also note that in Helen’s earnings release the company does report a total benefit of $9.2 million from Phase 1 tariff refunds, just like we figured out in the above paragraph. Helen did not speculate about how much more in refunds it might get: “The company’s outlook… excludes any potential benefit from future refund phases due to the uncertainty surrounding the timing and collectability of those refunds.”


That’s how accounting for uncertain gains is supposed to work. A company can’t put down specific numbers until it’s confident in both the amount and the timing of when the gain will arrive. 


Regardless, gains from tariff refunds are coming. Helen just gave us a preview of how that might look like.


Today we continue our look at trends in non-GAAP reporting, based on the findings of our annual analysis of non-GAAP adjustments to net income among S&P 500 firms. 

Our previous post recapped the report’s biggest findings for 2025 earnings — most notably, that adjusted net income was almost universally higher than traditional GAAP net income, but the “spread” for 2025 was lower than that for 2024. Average dollar value for each non-GAAP adjustment was also lower in 2025 than the prior year, too.


Now let’s look at non-GAAP from different perspective: Which firms made the largest adjustments to net income, and for what reasons? 


First, some background. Calcbench (and our invaluable partner Suffolk University) identified 2,320 adjustments to net income items among the S&P 500 for their 2025 earnings. Those adjustments totaled $271.09 billion. 


We then classified each of the 2,320 adjustments into one of 11 categories:



Every company adjusted net income in its own way, with a unique mixture of categories and dollar amounts per adjustment. Several companies, however, adjusted net income to such a large extent that they contributed materially to the entire $271 billion in non-GAAP adjustments we observed overall. 


Figure 1, below, is a “Top 10” list of companies reporting the largest upward adjustments to GAAP net income.



Ticker

Company Name

Adjustment Amount

% of NI

% of Total

ABBV

AbbVie Inc.

$13,558,000,000 

320%

5.0%

PFE

Pfizer Inc.

$10,636,000,000 

136%

3.9%

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

$10,602,000,000 

46%

3.9%

KHC

Kraft Heinz*

$8,928,000,000

153%

3.3%

COF

Capital One Financial*

$8,434,000,000 

344%

3.1%

QCOM

Qualcomm

$7,876,000,000 

142%

2.9%

CNC

Centene Corp.

$7,702,000,000 

115%

2.8%

GM

General Motors

$7,131,000,000 

257%

2.6%

CVS

CVS HEALTH Corp.

$6,804,000,000 

394%

2.5%

BMY

Bristol Myers Squibb

$5,492,000,000 

78%

2.0%

* The company reported a negative GAAP Net-Income


So for example, AbbVie made $13.56 billion’ worth of adjustments, which led to adjusted net income 320 percent larger than GAAP net income. The $13.56 billion was also roughly 5 percent of the $271.09 billion in adjustments we identified for the entire S&P 500. 


Digging further into the report, we can see that almost all of AbbVie’s $13.56 billion in adjustments came from two specific adjustments:


  • An adjustment of $6.22 billion for amortization of intangible assets;

  • An adjustment of $6.3 billion for gains or losses on investments.


Neither of those adjustments are particularly surprising when you look at non-GAAP adjustment trends overall. Amortization is routinely the largest and most common adjustment category, since so many companies list intangibles on their balance sheets; and adjustments for investment gains and losses were especially large this year compared to previous years. 


Figure 2, below, shows the five companies with the largest downward adjustments to GAAP net income. 


Ticker

Company Name

Adjustment Amount

% of NI

% of Total

T

AT&T Inc.

($6,595,480,000)

-28%

-2.4%

UBER

Uber Technologies Inc

($4,853,000,000)

-48%

-1.8%

CMCSA

Comcast Corp.

($4,026,000,000)

-20%

-1.5%

NVDA

Nvidia Corp,

($3,070,000,000)

-3%

-1.1%

KKR

KKR & Co. Inc.

($2,721,688,000)

-44%

-1.0%


Of course, these downward adjustments could be offset by other upward adjustments the same company also makes. Just because a company includes one or more downward adjustments to net income, that doesn’t necessarily mean its overall adjusted net income will be negative. 


Those are just a few more morsels of information about how adjustments to net income work in practice. We’ll have more insights in future posts, and remember — download the full report!


It’s that time of year again, financial data devotees — the Calcbench Non-GAAP Reconciliations Study is here!

Every spring, Calcbench and Suffolk University team up to catalog the non-GAAP adjustments to net income made by S&P 500 firms in their annual reports. We then analyze those non-GAAP adjustments by size and number to see what trends in non-GAAP reporting we can identify. 


Our report for 2025 earnings is now available for download, and we have a summary of our findings here, too.


We studied the 2025 annual earnings releases of the S&P 500 and identified 361 companies (72 percent of the entire S&P 500) that reported either non-GAAP net income or non-GAAP earnings per share. Within that group of 361, we then measured and classified the specific adjustments each company cited to reconcile those adjusted numbers back to “traditional” net income according to U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP).


  • Among the 361 firms that reported non-GAAP earnings, 87 percent reported adjustments that led to higher earnings compared to GAAP net income, down slightly from the 89 percent identified in 2024.

  • Adjusted net income exceeded GAAP net income by an average of $751 million per company, 23 percent higher than average GAAP net income. Again these 2025 numbers are down from 2024, when the average adjustment was $870 million and roughly 30 percent higher than average GAAP net income. 

  • Average adjusted net income was $4 billion for 2025, compared to $3.8 billion for 2024.

  • We found a total of 2,320 individual reconciling items for our sample, with an average value of $117 million per item — 14 percent lower than the previous year. The total value of all non-GAAP adjustments was $271 billion.

  • The most notable swing in adjustments happened with gains and losses from investments, which went from an overall upward adjustment of $25.6 billion in 2024 to a downward adjustment of $8 billion in 2025. This suggests that a larger number of companies adjusted non-GAAP income downwards in 2025 to exclude investment gains; and the swing in this category alone (from positive $25.6 billion in 2024 to negative $8 billion in 2025) accounts for the entire decrease in non-GAAP adjustments in 2025. 

The scatterplot in Figure 1, below, shows the range of adjustments as a percentage of GAAP net income. Although most companies still adjusted their net income upward only within an upper bound of 100 percent of GAAP net income, a larger number than in previous years adjusted net income considerably higher, from 100 to 600 percent or more.



(Several companies in our sample are outside the range of our Figure 1 scatterplot since their adjustments were too large to include easily.)


Adjustment Categories by Size


The single largest category of adjustments in 2025 continued to be amortization of intangible assets. That category accounted for one-third of total amount adjusted across all firms, similar to the amortization category’s 2024 numbers. The second-largest category was impairments, at 28 percent of the total amount adjusted — up sharply from last year, when impairment-related adjustments were only 19 percent of the total. 


A complete breakdown of each category’s size, both by dollar amount and as percentage of total adjustment value, is in Figure 2, below. Year-over-year change in the left-side column refers to the percentage of total adjustment value. 



That’s enough for today. We’ll have more posts later this week digging even deeper into the data — we have lots! 


Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Struggling sneaker giant Nike ($NKE) filed its latest quarterly report this week, with margin and profit numbers that on the surface looked reasonably good.

But that supposedly impressive performance — specifically, sharp jumps in gross profit, pretax income, and net income — was entirely due to Nike booking $986 million in tariff refunds! So does it really count?


Let’s start with the headline numbers from the earnings release. Revenue actually fell 1.1 percent from the year-ago period, to $10.97 billion. Gross profit, however, jumped 20.7 percent thanks to a sharp decline in Nike’s cost of goods sold. Pretax income more than tripled, net income more than quadrupled. See Figure 1, below.



Earnings growth like that sounds too good to be true, so we opened our Disclosure and Footnotes Query page to do a detailed reading of the earnings release — and, yep, it was.


There in the earnings release, Nike included this statement about its most recent quarter (which ended on May 31, and is Nike’s fiscal Q4 2026): 

 

Gross margin increased 890 basis points to 49.2 percent, primarily due to the expected recovery of the IEEPA tariffs. The expected recovery of the IEEPA tariffs of $986 million increased gross margin by approximately 900 basis points.

 

OK, hold up. That’s not tariff refunds “primarily” contributing to an increase in gross margins; the $986 million in expected refunds entirely supports the growth in gross margin. Nine hundred basis points is more than 890. If not for Nike booking the $986 million, gross margins would have declined for its fiscal fourth quarter.


We have other questions about this disclosure, too. For starters, what does “expected recovery” actually mean? Is that $986 million in Nike coffers already, or is it not? 


Second, where does that $986 million show up on the income statement?


Gross margin is calculated as cost of goods sold divided into net sales. So does the $986 million show up as an increase in the revenue line, making the denominator of our equation larger? Or does it show up as a decrease in cost of goods sold, making the numerator smaller? 


Mathematically you arrive at the same gross margin number either way, but the specific accounting treatment would affect year-over-year performance for that individual line item. (That is, revenue growth or cost of goods sold growth.) 


Nike’s cost of goods sold for the quarter did decline by $1.05 billion from the year-ago period. But the $986 million in tariff refunds would presumably be for all of 2025 (when the tariffs were being improperly collected) rather than just fiscal Q4 2025. So it doesn’t seem like the $986 million is reflected in that year-over-year decline we see in Figure 1, above.


We’ll keep digging into Nike’s accounting treatment when the full 10-Q arrives in the next week or two, but meanwhile — this is the second time in two weeks that we’ve seen companies trying to convert expected tariffs into some immediate bright shiny thing on the income statement. 


Just last week we noted that Children’s Place ($PLCE) securitized its expected tariff refunds of $38.2 million, selling those promise refunds at 67 cents on the dollar, which led to a one-time cash injection of $25.6 million. Now we have Nike booking an “expected recovery,” whatever that means, of $986 million to goose its gross margins.


Presumably we’ll see more such financial engineering in the Q2 earnings statements that will start to arrive later this month. What a time to be alive and a Calcbench subscriber!


 On May 5 the Securities and Exchange Commission unveiled a proposal to allow public companies to adopt semi-annual rather than quarterly reporting. That proposal is out for public comment until July 6. 


Calcbench believes semi-annual reporting would be a serious mistake for the U.S. capital markets. Below is the full text of a comment letter we submitted to the SEC earlier this week stating that opposition. You can submit your own comments via the SEC website.



To: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

RE: Reforming Proposed Amendments to Permit Optional Semiannual Reporting by Public Companies - File Number S7-2026-15

Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the Securities and Exchange Commission's proposal to permit domestic reporting companies to file one semiannual report on Form 10-S and one annual report per fiscal year, in lieu of quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. I am writing on behalf of Calcbench, a financial data platform used by institutional and individual investors, financial advisors, and fundamental research analysts. 

Our firm strongly opposes moving away from quarterly reporting. If enacted, it will increase the costs to ALL investors. It will drive up transaction costs and limit price discovery. It will hurt exactly those investors that the SEC protects. 

The Case for Change

The premise for allowing companies to report semi-annually rests primarily on reducing the regulatory and compliance burden of being a public company — lowering costs, enabling executives to focus on long-term strategic execution rather than short-term earnings pressure, and motivating more companies to go or remain public without undermining fundamental investor protections. 

Proponents point to markets across the globe that have already made this shift, including the European Union and the United Kingdom, and countries that have always had a semi-annual reporting cadence, including Japan and Australia. They also point to a notable chorus of business leaders supporting the change, from Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase to Kunal Kapoor of Morningstar, Adena Friedman of Nasdaq, and the Business Roundtable, which represents approximately 200 CEOs of leading U.S. companies.

The Stronger Case for Quarterly Reporting

We strongly believe that these proposed changes have the potential to compromise the shareholders these companies ultimately serve. The CFA Institute surveyed 2,500 members working as investment analysts and portfolio managers as part of its recent report, Investor Perspectives: Quarterly Reporting – What Investors Tell Us About Quarterly Reporting, Why It Matters and Why They Support It in an Era of Artificial Intelligence. These members strongly supported retaining mandatory quarterly reporting. In addition, prominent asset managers and quantitative investment firms — including Citadel, Fidelity, Two Sigma, Blackrock, T.Rowe Price, and D.E. Shaw — have all warned against the move.

Shareholders want more information, not less. Reduced reporting frequency will increase market price volatility, increase transaction costs, and diminish the ability to monitor company performance. Overall transparency won’t increase — which is precisely why India and China, the two largest emerging markets, have moved toward quarterly reporting over the last several decades.

The demand for more data, not less, is not theoretical. Calcbench clients collectively manage more than $20 trillion in assets under management, and our direct experience working with these institutions reveals how professional investors actually use quarterly financial disclosures. In a cohort of our institutional investors, data usage increased 20.3% year over year — from 285.5K to 343.5K queries to our database. That is a clear signal of growing reliance on data, not diminishing need.

That reliance runs deep. Institutional investors have built their analytical frameworks, risk models, and portfolio monitoring processes around the cadence of quarterly disclosure. A shift to semiannual reporting wouldn’t just reduce the frequency of required filings; it would create extended periods when professional investors — and ultimately their retail clients — must make capital allocation decisions with materially less information about the companies they hold or are evaluating.

The information gap would not be filled equally. Institutional investors may be able to request data directly from company investor relations teams (which, incidentally, raises the risk of Regulation FD violations) — but retail investors have no such access. As for the claim that Form 8-K filings would bridge the gap: an 8-K can signal that something material has happened, but it does not translate that event into its income statement or balance sheet impact. That financial translation is precisely what quarterly reporting provides.

Nor do we believe that these changes will help the IPO market. As Shivaram Rajgopal, the Roy Bernard Kester and T.W. Byrnes Professor of Accounting and Auditing at Columbia Business School, has stated, “The defining feature of an IPO is information asymmetry — management knows the business; the public doesn't yet. Quarterly reporting is one of the fastest mechanisms to close that gap. Reducing it makes IPO investing more opaque, not less risky to avoid.”

Moreover, IPOs are already making a comeback with quarterly reporting intact. The Financial Times reported that “sixty US companies have gone public this year, raising nearly $40bn, the highest year-to-date deal value since 2021, according to data from Dealogic that excludes listings of blank-cheque companies. Goldman expects that figure to rise to a record $225bn this year following the raft of big listings.” 

The cost of the regulatory and compliance “burden” on public companies is the "cost" component of running a vibrant equity market. Authors of the above mentioned CFA Institute report, Sandy Peters and Matthew Winters, highlight that the supposed costs for quarterly reporting “represents but a tiny fraction (.004%) of the approximately $67 trillion in equity market capitalization of the NYSE and NASDAQ; and the SEC’s reporting framework established under the Securities Acts of 1933 and 1934 has been a major contributor to the investor confidence underlying these markets.”

Lastly, we do not believe that providing the option for companies to report semiannually will reduce a company’s “short-termism” and give executives the time and space to focus on long-term investments. As we’ve seen this year, thanks in part to AI, companies have moved away from short-termism and are investing for the long-term. Based on our recent earnings tracker, which looked at roughly 3,600 companies from Q1 2025 to Q1 2026, we found that net capital expenditures are up 29.5% this year over last; companies are already making plans across long time horizons. 

In Conclusion

While Calcbench appreciates the Commission’s effort to encourage more companies to access public capital markets, we urge the Commission not to proceed with optional semiannual reporting. Our opposition to this proposal stems from concerns about investor protection and our proprietary data, which shows demonstrated and growing demand for high-frequency financial data among the sophisticated market participants who rely on quarterly disclosures as a core input to their investment processes. We strongly believe these proposed amendments will be bad for large financial institutions and for small investors: friends, neighbors, and fellow Americans. Both directly and indirectly, costs on these people will increase. 

If the goal is to reduce regulatory burden, streamlining the 10-Q is a more logical path. If the goal is long-term investment, the focus should be on executive compensation structures. But eliminating quarterly reporting is not a solution to any of the problems its proponents describe.

Sincerely,

Pranav Ghai

Co-Founder and CEO, Calcbench



Monday, June 15, 2026

Today we have yet another entry in the annals of unusual tariff disclosures — this time from beleaguered children’s clothing retailer Children’s Place ($PLCE), which apparently has decided to sell its expected tariff refunds as a short-term cash infusion.

First let’s look at the big picture, which is not particularly good for Children’s Place right now. As described in its latest quarterly report, filed on June 12, year-over-year sales declined 11.1 percent, its operating loss grew by 74.9 percent, and quarterly net loss went from $34 million to $53.2 million, a jump of 56.3 percent. Management lamented that “our value customer has been impacted by higher gas and grocery prices,” and talked about “transformation efforts in a challenging retail environment.” 


Then came the interesting stuff. 


Children’s also reported that it has filed for $40 million in tariff refunds. That’s about 3.1 percent of Children’s total 2025 sales, which were $1.21 billion. (The U.S. Supreme Court overturned the Trump Administration’s tariffs on Feb. 20 of this year.) The company said in its earnings release that it has received $5.5 million of that $40 million refund claim so far.


Then came the really interesting stuff:


Consistent with prior disclosures, we have monetized most of these claims at a discounted rate, by selling the future receipt of these funds to a purchaser.


Wow. Children’s Place has sold off its expected tariff refunds. We have heard of companies disclosing refund amounts they expect; but this is the first time we’ve heard of a company selling off those refund claims like accounts receivable. 


Using our Disclosures & Footnotes Query page, we hopped over to Children's debt disclosure footnote. That’s where we found the juicy details:


On March 31, 2026, the Company entered into a Claim Sale and Purchase Agreement with Alnus Investors LLC (“Alnus”) to monetize its claims for refunds of tariffs previously paid to the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (“CBP”) ... Alnus purchased an aggregate amount of $38.2 million of the approximately $40 million refund claims submitted to the CBP at a purchase rate of 67.2%, for a total purchase price of $25.7 million. The Company has received $5.5 million of these refunds from the CBP subsequent to the end of the First Quarter 2026 to date.


So Alnus Investors purchased almost all of Children’s expected tariff claims for 67 cents on the dollar. Children’s got a one-time cash infusion of $25.7 million.


We couldn’t find any details on who Alnus Investments is. But for comparison purposes, Children’s also disclosed this quarter that it had monetized a separate tax claim from the IRS worth a total of $22.8 million. In that transaction, Children’s sold off the claim to another shadowy financing firm only known as TRMEF Basis II Corp. for $20.1 million. That’s a discount rate of 88.5 percent, compared to the 67 percent discount rate for the tariffs claim. 


So all told, Children’s stands to get a cash injection of $45.8 million in exchange for selling off $62.8 million worth of tariff and tax refund claims. 


Then again, Children’s certainly needs the money. Its cash holdings have drifted steadily downward from $12.9 million two years ago, to $5.9 million one year ago, to $4.8 million now. The company’s long-term debt is also rising swiftly, and its stockholder equity went from a reed-thin $1.4 million one year ago to a deficit of $107 million today.


Desperate times call for desperate measures.


Today we return to tariffs, which continue to be a vexing issue for companies and financial analysts alike. What are companies paying for tariffs? How much are tariffs squeezing margins? How much money might companies recoup from tariff refunds, if any at all? 

Consumer products giant Procter & Gamble ($PG) provided a fascinating example of what companies are disclosing in its latest quarterly report, filed on April 24.


In the Management Discussion & Analysis section, tucked away on Page 19, of the filing, Procter & Gamble disclosed that gross margin decreased 150 basis points to 49.5 percent of net sales for the quarter. Then came a long list of bullet points for why gross margins were getting squeezed (emphasis ours):


  • 180 basis points of decline from unfavorable product mix,

  • 100 basis points of product and packaging investments, 

  • 50 basis points of higher restructuring costs,

  • 50 basis points of higher costs from tariffs,

  • 20 basis points of other items and rounding and

  • 10 basis points of higher commodity costs.


So tariffs pushed up costs by 50 basis points, or 0.5 percent. Then Procter & Gamble provided two steps management took to protect gross margins (again, emphasis ours):


  • 210 basis points of manufacturing productivity savings and

  • 50 basis points of increase due to higher pricing.


One could reasonably conclude, therefore, that Procter & Gamble is raising prices to cover its higher costs from tariffs. 


Interestingly, the above numbers reflect P&G’s gross margins across the whole enterprise. But if you keep digging deeper into the MD&A narrative, management only cites tariffs as a source of margin pressure for one specific segment: beauty products. 


P&G reports net sales and earnings for six operating units, beauty included. See Figure 1, below, shamelessly lifted from Page 22 of the 10-Q.



Under that table, the MD&A then painstakingly walks through a discussion of each unit’s performance and the pressures it faced. For the beauty segment, P&G specifically said (as always, emphasis ours)… 


Net earnings margin decreased due to a decrease in gross margin and an increase in the effective tax rate, partially offset by a decrease in SG&A as a percentage of net sales. The gross margin decline of 210 basis points was driven by unfavorable product mix, higher commodity costs and higher cost of tariffs, partially offset by productivity savings.


P&G did not mention tariffs in the discussion of any other business unit! For example, this was the corresponding disclosure for the Fabric & Home Care unit, P&G’s largest operating segment:


Net earnings margin decreased due to a decrease in gross margin, partially offset by a decrease in SG&A as a percentage of net sales. The gross margin decrease of 130 basis points was driven by unfavorable product mix, partially offset by productivity savings.


Do you see any mention of tariffs there? We don’t. Nor did we see mention in any of the other five operating segments; only the Beauty division.


We will let others judge the significance of these tariff disclosures, and the questions this information allows you to ponder (or ask on an earnings call). Calcbench subscribers, however, can find details like this pretty easily. 


How to Search


To find disclosures in the MD&A (or any other part of the 10-Q, 10-K, or earnings release) simply fire up the Disclosures & Footnotes Query page and pull up the company and period you want to search. Then enter the relevant search terms, and start reading through the results.


You can also get fancy with your searches, looking for multiple words in close proximity to each other. 


For example, we searched “gross margin,” and “tariff” and included a “~20” after the word tariffs. That allowed us to search for all disclosures that mentioned gross margin and tariffs within 20 words of each other. See Figure 2, below.



We found 100 firms that mentioned tariffs and gross margins in close proximity to each other in Q1 2026. 

So, more food for thought as we all prepare for Q2 filings to arrive in July. Higher costs are likely to be a major theme, and Calcbench has the tools to help you find out exactly what companies are saying.


Several major apparel brands filed their latest earnings reports the other day. Sure, we could do the usual look at their year-over-year revenue and earnings — but Calcbench data can do much more than that!

So we instead decided to look at the firms’ liquidity metrics, specifically their cash conversion cycles. The “CCC” lets analysts understand how well a company manages its inventory, collections, and payments; which is an important metric to know if you follow the apparel business.


You calculate the Cash Conversion Cycle by manipulating a few other liquidity metrics. First, add together the company’s Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) and Days Sales Outstanding (DSO); then subtract its Days Payable Outstanding (DPO) from that sum. 


Or if you’re a Calcbench subscriber, you just let us do all that for you and provide the CCC number automatically. CCC (and its component elements) are all liquidity metrics we calculate and present as a matter of course.


Figure 1, below, shows quarterly CCC figures for American Eagle Outfitters ($AEO), Carters ($CRI), the Gap ($GAP), Ralph Lauren ($RL), and Urban Outfitters ($URBN).



We assume some of you will say, “Hold up! Sales, payments, and inventories fluctuate so much from one quarter to the next in the retail world that those jagged lines don’t impart much information.” 


Fair enough. With another few keystrokes we pulled up the companies’ annual CCC numbers, and that led us to Figure 2.



Now we see a very different story: a spike in 2022 for Carters and Ralph Lauren, presumably coinciding with supply chain disruptions and inflation; but overall a quite steady CCC for all five firms. 


Calcbench subscribers can access these metrics, and many more, in several ways. For these two charts above, we used our Multi-Company search page. Simply pull up the companies you want to research and then start typing “cash” into the standardized metrics field on the left side of the page. We call it the “cash-to-cash” cycle, but it’s the same metric. We started with fiscal 2025 numbers, asked for a time-series of data, and immediately had this ready for export to Excel:



You can also use our Bulk Data Query page, which tracks financial disclosures and performance metrics for one or more companies across long time periods. Just scroll to the bottom of the page and you’ll see a series of liquidity metrics Calcbench automatically calculates and reports out to you in Excel.



Just another glimpse of how Calcbench collects, organizes, and prepares financial data that you can analyze to your heart’s content.


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